{"id":13139,"date":"2019-10-02T12:46:57","date_gmt":"2019-10-02T10:46:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/?p=13139\/"},"modified":"2019-10-02T12:46:57","modified_gmt":"2019-10-02T10:46:57","slug":"fear-of-recession-sinks-the-stock-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/en\/fear-of-recession-sinks-the-stock-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Fear of recession sinks the stock market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-8573 aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/bernstein-bank.azureedge.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/09\/sell-buy-chart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"602\" height=\"403\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><strong>02.10.2019 \u2013 Daily Report.<\/strong> <strong> In early Tuesday trading, the DAX rose, then prices crumbled. No wonder before the holiday on Thursday there is a lack of vigour, as many brokers are on holiday. After all, there were hardly any disturbance maneuvers on the news front.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Things are going down<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p align=\"justify\">On Wednesday noon, the stock market in Frankfurt mainly pressed the sell button: the DAX slipped 1.2 percent to 12,117 points. Before tomorrow&#8217;s stock market pause on German Unification Day, the restraint is not surprising &#8211; no one wants to be caught on the wrong foot.<br \/>\nAbove all, because the most recent comments by the five leading German economic research institutes caused some pondering &#8211; they significantly lowered their economic forecasts for 2019 and 2020. In their autumn report, the researchers forecast economic growth of 0.5 percent for this year. For 2020, they predict a growth in gross domestic product (GDP) of 1.1 percent. In their spring report, the five economic experts had still assumed growth of 0.8 percent for this year and 1.8 percent for 2020.<br \/>\nNo wonder the euro recently slipped to its lowest level since spring 2017 as a result of this pessimism &#8211; EURUSD reached a low of 1.0879.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Recession signals from the USA<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p align=\"justify\">The evening before, the US industry had already sent out crisis signals: The ISM Purchasing Managers&#8217; Index fell to its lowest level since the 2009 economic crisis. The most important reason for this is the ongoing trade dispute between the USA and China. As always, you can find all the data here: <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/research\/#market-mover\">Market Mover<\/a>.<\/strong> The next round of talks between the Middle Kingdom and America will begin on 10 October &#8211; this will determine what happens on the stock exchange.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Overseas sales<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p align=\"justify\">In view of the recession signals, the Japanese stock exchange also weakened: the Nikkei index lost 0.5 percent to 21,772 points. Incidentally, the stock exchange in China will remain closed until 7 October in the course of the festivities surrounding the National Day. Yesterday evening the ISM data had already sent Wall Street south. The Dow Jones Industrial lost 1.3 percent to 26,573 points. The S&amp;P 500 lost 1.2 percent to 2,940 positions. And the Nasdaq 100 slipped by 0.8 percent to 7,684 points.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Deep State versus Trump<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p align=\"justify\">Otherwise a look at the Causa Impeachment for your positioning on Wall Street. A new fact has just emerged that supports Trump&#8217;s accusations that a coup d&#8217;\u00e9tat from the &#8220;Deep State&#8221;, i.e. from the bureaucracy and the security authorities, is taking place against him. The &#8220;Epoch Times&#8221; reported that only the Office of the Intelligence Community Inspector General (ICIG) had cleared the way for an impeachment investigation. Because at some point between 17 May 2018 and 24 September 2019, the requirement in the &#8220;Urgent Concern Disclosure Form&#8221; was deleted, according to which an informant must necessarily have direct, personally experienced information for his complaint &#8211; and since then he can rely on hearsay. What the current whistleblower has also done in Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, a recording that raises the question of the Democrats&#8217; prospects of success &#8211; they themselves have a lot of dirt on their hands, which the voters in the USA are unlikely to have missed:<br \/>\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Joe Biden Brags about getting Ukranian Prosecutor Fired\" width=\"1080\" height=\"608\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/UXA--dj2-CY?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><br \/>\nHere former Vice President Joe Biden boasts to the Council on Foreign Relations that he once forced Ukraine to fire Prosecutor Viktor Shokin. Biden senior threatened to withhold $1 billion in loans, which would have driven Ukraine into bankruptcy. Shokin had, among other things, investigated the gas company Burisma for corruption. There, son Hunter Biden earned 50,000 dollars a month.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Last chance for Brexit deal<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p align=\"justify\">Meanwhile, the Brexit issue is becoming interesting again and so is the British pound. Prime Minister Boris Johnson will present his final offer to the European Union today, Wednesday. If the European Union rejects the proposal, Johnson wants to push through the No-Deal-Brexit by 31 October.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>That brings the day <\/strong><\/h2>\n<p align=\"justify\">The appointment calendar is otherwise rather sparsely filled on this Wednesday.<br \/>\nIn the USA the ADP employment report arrives at 2:15pm.<br \/>\nFurthermore, the European Central Bank will present its report on the bond purchase program at 3:35pm.<br \/>\nAt 4:30pm the weekly US crude oil inventory data are reported to the state Energy Information Administration.<br \/>\nThe Bernstein Bank wishes you successful trades!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Important Notes on This Publication: <\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><small> The content of this publication is for general information purposes only. In this context, it is neither an individual investment recommendation or advice nor an offer to purchase or sell securities or other financial products. The content in question and all the information contained therein do not in any way replace individual investor- or investment-oriented advice. No reliable forecast or indication for the future is possible with respect to any presentation or information on the present or past performance of the relevant underlying assets. All information and data presented in this publication are based on reliable sources. However, Bernstein Bank does not guarantee that the information and data contained in this publication is up-to-date, correct and complete. Securities traded on the financial markets are subject to price fluctuations. A contract for difference (CFD) is also a financial instrument with leverage effect. Against this backdrop, CFD trading involves a high risk up to the point of total loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, make sure that you have fully understood all the correlating risks. If necessary, ask for independent advice.<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>02.10.2019 \u2013 Daily Report. In early Tuesday trading, the DAX rose, then prices crumbled. No wonder before the holiday on Thursday there is a lack of vigour, as many brokers&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":13102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13139","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fear of recession sinks the stock market | Bernstein Bank<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"That doesn&#039;t look good for the bulls on the stock market.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/en\/fear-of-recession-sinks-the-stock-market\/\" 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