{"id":14236,"date":"2020-01-13T06:47:58","date_gmt":"2020-01-13T05:47:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/?p=14236\/"},"modified":"2020-01-13T06:49:54","modified_gmt":"2020-01-13T05:49:54","slug":"volatility-keeps-fading-whats-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/en\/volatility-keeps-fading-whats-next\/","title":{"rendered":"Volatility keeps fading. What&#8217;s next?"},"content":{"rendered":"<table cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"4\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">Gold<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a01556,28<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-0,37%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">EURUSD<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a01,1129<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #008000;\">+0,12%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">DJIA<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a028858,50<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #008000;\">+0,23%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">OIL.WTI<\/span>\u00a0 59,02<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-0,14%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">DAX<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a013458,77<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #008000;\">+ 0,01%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p align=\"justify\">An important outcome of the weekend was Iran&#8217;s recognition that the Ukrainian Boeing was hit by their missile. This is absolutely the right decision to reduce tensions in the region as much as possible. However, the U.S. has already imposed new sanctions against Iran, destroying its already weak economy.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nChart of the day AUD\/USD<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-14237 aligncenter\" src=\"\/\/bernstein-bank.azureedge.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/trading-news-usd.png\" alt=\"trading-news-usd\" width=\"600\" height=\"246\" \/><br \/>\nAgainst this background, all risky assets grew. And the main beneficiary of the growth was the Australian dollar, which everyone had long forgotten about.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Why is he forgotten? There are several reasons for that. It&#8217;s the drop in prices for the main export commodity &#8211; iron ore. And the U.S. trade war with China (and China is the largest exporter of that iron ore). And the most difficult situation with fires, which caused Australia&#8217;s GDP to lose up to 0.5% per annum.<br \/>\nAs a result, the Aussie is on a multi-year low. And not only against the American dollar (which is so clear), but also against other commodity currencies: Canadian and New Zealand dollars.<br \/>\nWe know very well when a certain asset becomes completely uninteresting to everyone, that&#8217;s when a new bull market starts. Fundamentally and technically, the whole negative is already included in the price. The trade war with China will somehow be closed by the USA in the coming months. And then there is a new positive, in the form of an increase in gold prices, which is also one of the main export commodities. Therefore, it is worth watching the Australian dollar closely all the current year, finding the entry points when reaching new highs.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>OIL<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Oil prices continued to fall. After the exclusion of the geopolitical factor, the opposition of OPEC states and Russia against oil shale producers in North America begins again. Immediately after the holidays, data on a sharp increase in the number of new drilling rigs in Canada came out. And this is an objective process, given the recent price spike. It can be assumed that in the coming weeks a large number of wells will be reactivated, the owners of which have sold futures for future oil supplies.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>What&#8217;s waiting for us today?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">10.30 UK industrial production data for November<br \/>\n10.30 UK GDP data for November<br \/>\n16.30 Economic situation overview from the Bank of Canada<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" align=\"justify\">Important Notes on This Publication:<small> <\/small><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><small>The content of this publication is for general information purposes only. In this context, it is neither an individual investment recommendation or advice nor an offer to purchase or sell securities or other financial products. The content in question and all the information contained therein do not in any way replace individual investor- or investment-oriented advice. No reliable forecast or indication for the future is possible with respect to any presentation or information on the present or past performance of the relevant underlying assets. All information and data presented in this publication are based on reliable sources. However, Bernstein Bank does not guarantee that the information and data contained in this publication is up-to-date, correct and complete. Securities traded on the financial markets are subject to price fluctuations. A contract for difference (CFD) is also a financial instrument with leverage effect. Against this backdrop, CFD trading involves a high risk up to the point of total loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, make sure that you have fully understood all the correlating risks. If necessary, ask for independent advice.<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold\u00a0 \u00a01556,28 (-0,37%) EURUSD\u00a0 \u00a01,1129 (+0,12%) DJIA\u00a0 \u00a028858,50 (+0,23%) OIL.WTI\u00a0 59,02 (-0,14%) DAX\u00a0 \u00a013458,77 (+ 0,01%) An important outcome of the weekend was Iran&#8217;s recognition that the Ukrainian Boeing was&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":13158,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Volatility keeps fading. 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