{"id":15925,"date":"2020-05-04T07:44:30","date_gmt":"2020-05-04T05:44:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/?p=15925\/"},"modified":"2020-05-04T07:50:57","modified_gmt":"2020-05-04T05:50:57","slug":"trump-is-declaring-a-new-war-on-china-will-the-economy-survive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/en\/trump-is-declaring-a-new-war-on-china-will-the-economy-survive\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump is declaring a new war on China. Will the economy survive?"},"content":{"rendered":"<table cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"4\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">Gold<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a01693,50<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-0,37%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">EURUSD<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a01,0938<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> -0,29%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">DJIA<\/span>\u00a0 24115<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #008000;\">+2,12%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">OIL.WTI<\/span>\u00a0 25,095<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #008000;\">+12,63%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">DAX<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a010609<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-1,98%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p align=\"justify\">This week will be one of the most important for investors. There are plans to publish a report on employment in the U.S. non-production sector. Analysts predict an unprecedented loss of 21 million jobs. The markets will also watch the progress, as countries leave quarantine and begin to recover.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nEUR\/USD<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-15926 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.azureedge.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/EURUSD.png\" alt=\"EURUSD\" width=\"600\" height=\"260\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">On Friday, Donald Trump said he would raise tariffs for China anyway. So far, that&#8217;s just words, but we know the American president doesn&#8217;t throw words away. The US presidential election is coming in November and Trump will try to make the most of it for the election campaign. No one can say how such actions will affect the markets. Friday ended in a fall for the markets. It&#8217;s the end of the week and month. Investors were fixing profits. European markets were closed, but American markets fell by almost 3%. The S&amp;P 500 lost 81 points and the DOW index lost 622 points.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nEuro<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Coronavirus is still raging in Europe, but the number of cases is falling and countries are in the process of removing quarantine measures. At its meeting, the ECB outlined a new emergency economic support program. Now loans for the organization will be issued at an ultra low rate of minus 1%. During Christine Lagarde&#8217;s speech, the euro was losing a lot in price, but closer to closing the markets he managed to recover his position and close at 1.0970. There is a tough week ahead and investors will be watching the actions of all countries, especially Italy, which is in the most difficult situation with the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nGold<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The precious metal is still unable to overcome the sacred levels and another week the price per ounce fluctuates between $1630 and $1730. Probably, the growth of gold is so obvious that this is why it does not grow. But the strongest will win here. The depreciation of the dollar is in full swing. The M2 has reached $17 trillion, which is the biggest growth since 1980. Although gold production has increased by almost 35% this year, demand is growing much faster.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nOil<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Oil showed a spectacular rebound last week. By the end of the week, WTI held its price at $21 per barrel. Finally, countries are starting to reduce production, and some, like Saudi Arabia, are doing so at an accelerated pace. Due to the emergency measures to reduce production, there will probably be less pressure on market quotations and a temporary recovery of the price. But because of very low prices, one should expect strong volatility in the market, as speculators and big players will start entering now.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nWhat&#8217;s waiting for us today?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">03.00 China Productive Sector Business Activity Index<br \/>\n09.55 Index of business activity in the German manufacturing sector.<br \/>\n16.00 US industrial orders volume<br \/>\n17.00 GDP in Russia since the beginning of the year<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" align=\"justify\">Important Notes on This Publication:<small> <\/small><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><small>The content of this publication is for general information purposes only. In this context, it is neither an individual investment recommendation or advice nor an offer to purchase or sell securities or other financial products. The content in question and all the information contained therein do not in any way replace individual investor- or investment-oriented advice. No reliable forecast or indication for the future is possible with respect to any presentation or information on the present or past performance of the relevant underlying assets. All information and data presented in this publication are based on reliable sources. However, Bernstein Bank does not guarantee that the information and data contained in this publication is up-to-date, correct and complete. Securities traded on the financial markets are subject to price fluctuations. A contract for difference (CFD) is also a financial instrument with leverage effect. Against this backdrop, CFD trading involves a high risk up to the point of total loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, make sure that you have fully understood all the correlating risks. If necessary, ask for independent advice.<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold\u00a0 \u00a01693,50 (-0,37%) EURUSD\u00a0 \u00a01,0938 ( -0,29%) DJIA\u00a0 24115 (+2,12%) OIL.WTI\u00a0 25,095 (+12,63%) DAX\u00a0 \u00a010609 (-1,98%) This week will be one of the most important for investors. There are plans&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":13158,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump is declaring a new war on China. 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