{"id":16344,"date":"2020-06-25T07:36:35","date_gmt":"2020-06-25T05:36:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/?p=16344\/"},"modified":"2020-06-25T07:36:35","modified_gmt":"2020-06-25T05:36:35","slug":"how-bad-can-the-stock-market-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.com\/en\/how-bad-can-the-stock-market-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"How bad can the stock market fall?"},"content":{"rendered":"<table cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"4\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">Gold<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a01693,50<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-3,78%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">EURUSD<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a01,0799<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"> -4,04%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">DJIA<\/span>\u00a0 24115<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-5,07%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">OIL.WTI<\/span>\u00a0 25,095<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-34,05%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<th>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #e2b365;\">DAX<\/span>\u00a0 \u00a010609<br \/>\n(<span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">-12,63%<\/span>)<\/h4>\n<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p align=\"justify\">There is a coronavirus after all. Wednesday has shown us that investors are much more afraid of the second wave than expected. On Wednesday, California, Florida and Texas, one of the four largest states in the United States, reported a record number of COVID-19 infections.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nS&amp;P500<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-16345 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/bernstein-bank.azureedge.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/SP500-2.png\" alt=\"S&amp;P500\" width=\"600\" height=\"258\" \/><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The current situation shows that there are quite a few options left. On Wednesday, due to fear of a second wave of the epidemic, markets are losing ground on all fronts. Many investors assess the situation so negatively that they are waiting for the second &#8220;bottom&#8221;. The fear turned out to be much stronger. The DAX index closed 3.4% lower, at 12093, the S&amp;P500 index is close to 3000, which is a strong support level at the moment.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nEuro<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yesterday&#8217;s results on macroeconomic statistics show that the EU economy is beginning to recover. Almost all the data came out better than predicted, but so far it has not affected the price of EUR\/USD. It is important for us that Europe is beginning to recover and if you look at a pair of months ahead, the euro should try to move out of the range up. On Wednesday, due to fears of a second wave of infection, the dollar is strengthening, while EUR\/USD is trading at 1.1260.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nGold<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Gold is well established above $1750 per ounce and continues to grow. Our forecast remains the same, and we are still waiting for the breakthrough of $1800. Gold now has the best growth potential in the entire financial sector.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nOil<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Oil reacts very sharply to changes in the people infected. As soon as it was reported that a pandemic was going on in the United States the price of WTI oil has gone very sharply below $40 per barrel. The oil market is the weakest at the moment, because it depends on virtually all financial indicators, as well as the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. In the near future, the price may recover to $40 per barrel, but this requires a solid base and good statistics.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><br \/>\nWhat&#8217;s waiting for us today?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">14.30 Base orders for durable goods in the USA for May<br \/>\n14.30 US GDP for the 1st quarter of 2020<br \/>\n14.30 Number of initial applications for unemployment in the United States<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\" align=\"justify\">Important Notes on This Publication:<small> <\/small><\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"><small>The content of this publication is for general information purposes only. In this context, it is neither an individual investment recommendation or advice nor an offer to purchase or sell securities or other financial products. The content in question and all the information contained therein do not in any way replace individual investor- or investment-oriented advice. No reliable forecast or indication for the future is possible with respect to any presentation or information on the present or past performance of the relevant underlying assets. All information and data presented in this publication are based on reliable sources. However, Bernstein Bank does not guarantee that the information and data contained in this publication is up-to-date, correct and complete. Securities traded on the financial markets are subject to price fluctuations. A contract for difference (CFD) is also a financial instrument with leverage effect. Against this backdrop, CFD trading involves a high risk up to the point of total loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, make sure that you have fully understood all the correlating risks. If necessary, ask for independent advice.<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold\u00a0 \u00a01693,50 (-3,78%) EURUSD\u00a0 \u00a01,0799 ( -4,04%) DJIA\u00a0 24115 (-5,07%) OIL.WTI\u00a0 25,095 (-34,05%) DAX\u00a0 \u00a010609 (-12,63%) There is a coronavirus after all. Wednesday has shown us that investors are much&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":13158,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16344","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How bad can the stock market fall? | Bernstein Bank<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There is a coronavirus after all. 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