The media keep getting insider hints about the possible trade deal, though there are still a lot of unsolved issues between the two states. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has pointed out that the global economy is slowing down and that trade conflicts can have a serious impact on further growth around the world.
AUD/USD day chart
There’s nothing new in the crypto market, with decreasing volatility, average trading volumes, and no major news. China now believes that cryptocurrencies are the future, so it might soon relax its pressure on crypto enthusiasts.
Euro still can’t manage to find support. In spite of some optimism stemming from the German GDP data, US dollar remains the stronger currency. As for the US, it’s quite clear how the Fed’s policy will unfold: the interest rate won’t be cut again this year so as not to create trouble in the markets before Christmas. All signs point in favor of the dollar, which can propel the trading pair to new local minimums.
On Thursday, gold found new support and recovered some of its losses. With no positive news on the trade talks, investors are starting to worry that the stalemate will become long-term. This pushes up the price of the safe haven asset. Until there’s some clarity on the future of the trade war, investors are likely to keep buying hedging assets, such as gold.
The markets can’t seem to find a direction. Investors are too confused to act decisively. Most of the indices lost slightly due to a lack of progress in the US-China trade talks. Friday is usually the day with traders take profits, so we’re unlikely to see major growth.
01.50 Japan: GDP data for Q3
12.00 EU: consumer price index since January
15.30 US: retail price index for October
15.30 US: retail sales for October
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