What happens to gold?

By 08/06/2020News
Morning Stock News

Gold   1693,50

EURUSD   1,0799
( -4,35%)

DJIA  24115

OIL.WTI  25,095

DAX   10609

The first trading week of June was very difficult for the whole economic society. Plenty of diverse data led investors to choose between risky assets and safe haven assets.



Although the stock market is growing steadily, the first signs of problems appear in the market. A lot of securities took off and exceeded the SMA50 level, which gives grounds for a possible correction. In due course, it is worth considering that the majority of securities have not yet reached the monthly SMA200, which is the second sign of correction. In the near future we will see how the markets will develop, but it is likely that the rally is over and the correction is coming. The S&P500 index rose on Friday to 3193, while the DAX index rose to 12847.


Decisions of the European Central Bank on the expansion of economic support measures have so inspired investors that on Friday the main European currency bounces off the monthly SMA200 and trades at 1.1285. Even negotiations on Brexit do not affect the Euro at all, as the dollar is very bad in the current situation. Wave of protests, army in the streets, tough statements of the US president make it very doubtful that the US economy will be able to recover quickly after the end of the pandemic.


Oil is a product that is highly liquid and always in demand. WTI oil has been growing for two weeks and probably needs a certain rollback. Of course, after such a sharp drop in March, it is difficult to imagine an adequate price for black gold, but what is important now is that the oil price in the current situation is formed only on the market supply and demand. WTI oil has reached an important level of $40 per barrel and correction from this level is inevitable.


The situation on the gold market is ambiguous. We thought that the trillions that entered the U.S. economy would allow the price of gold to reach $1800 and even $1900 per ounce, but it turned out to be not so. It was necessary to share with the stock market, which sharply decided to show its growth opportunity. Investors in the American stock market were so optimistic that now the S&P500 index is trading only 7% below its value since the beginning of the year. Of course, gold cannot resist under such pressure. Let’s look at the development of the situation in the near future and determine the direction. On Friday, gold closes at $1684 per ounce.

What’s waiting for us today?

01.50 Japanese GDP.
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14.30 Volume of construction of new houses in Canada for May

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