Who’s too late?

By 05/02/2021News
Morning Stock News

Gold  1797,815
(+0,25%)

EURUSD   1,1962
(-0,02%)

DJIA  31051,50
(+0,24%)

OIL.WTI  56,685
(+0,43%)

DAX   14052
(+0,02%)

The second part of the article on the battle of the hamsters vs Wall Street, promised yesterday, will be moved to Monday. On Thursday there was a more important event for traders in the forex market.


Gold

Gold

Remember the picture above? We already gave it about a week ago. You can see a narrowing triangle on the chart. On Wednesday, gold prices broke through the triangle downwards. And the price of the gold metal fell sharply.
Why did this happen? Is there something wrong with gold? No! Something is wrong with the second ticker in the dollar/gold pair, namely the US dollar. It continues its rapid rise against most of the world’s currencies. The 2 most important levels were broken yesterday. 1.20 for the Euro/Dollar pair. And 0.9 for the USD/CHF pair.
A couple of days ago we drew our subscribers’ attention to a new factor that will push the American currency up. An earlier unwinding of US stimulus measures and a rise in interest rates. With this development, the yellow metal becomes the first contender for a fall.


Is it necessary to run out and sell gold urgently?

So far there is no evidence that the dollar reversal trend has taken on a long-term character. What will be important during the next 2 trading days is whether EUR/USD will hold below 1.20 and also whether gold will hold below the lower boundary of the triangle.
Break-down of EUR/USD at the level of 1.15 will be a medium-term confirmation of the trend change. From here, nobody will wait for the levels of 1.30-1.35, which were called by the experts as a target for the end of 2021.
Therefore, getting rid of gold is definitely not a good idea. The main thing is to understand the only risk (expectation of an earlier increase of interest rates in the USA), which might lead to a decline.

14.30 US non-farm payrolls for January
14.30 US Unemployment Rate for January
14.30 Canada January unemployment


Important Notes on This Publication:

The content of this publication is for general information purposes only. In this context, it is neither an individual investment recommendation or advice nor an offer to purchase or sell securities or other financial products. The content in question and all the information contained therein do not in any way replace individual investor- or investment-oriented advice. No reliable forecast or indication for the future is possible with respect to any presentation or information on the present or past performance of the relevant underlying assets. All information and data presented in this publication are based on reliable sources. However, Bernstein Bank does not guarantee that the information and data contained in this publication is up-to-date, correct and complete. Securities traded on the financial markets are subject to price fluctuations. A contract for difference (CFD) is also a financial instrument with leverage effect. Against this backdrop, CFD trading involves a high risk up to the point of total loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, make sure that you have fully understood all the correlating risks. If necessary, ask for independent advice.

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.
You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.