3 days ago, in our newsletter, we noted that any rebound in oil would be a great opportunity for new sales. This is exactly what happened in the market. It is not clear which optimists were buying black gold a couple of days ago. But it is clear that they paid in full for their decision yesterday.
The WTI chart of the day
More and more airlines are completely closing their flights to China. And the planes that fly into the sky are only 10%-20% full. If we add to this a sharp decline in transportation within China itself, the drop in demand looks extremely negative for the oil market.
On Thursday the pair EUR/USD pushed back from the level of 1.10. During the previous 2 days the bears tried several times to push the price lower, but failed to do so neither against the background of the coronovirus, nor against the background of a huge number of open positions towards positive swap. This indicates the fundamental and technical strength of the Euro in the short term.
Australian, Canadian, New Zealand, Russian currencies … the list can go on long. All currencies whose exports are based on raw materials rolled down the stone. After Thursday, when you look at the charts, the technical picture of these currencies, against the U.S. dollar, seems simply terrible. From a fundamental point of view, everything seems no less terrible.
So, what is it? Are these pairs going to keep falling? According to the technical and fundamental analysis – they will fall. What can come to their aid? Traders should not forget, when all in the market wait for the same event, it can not happen. In this case, if everyone who wanted, managed to put on the fall of commodity assets. Well, if new speculators enter the market playing against commodities, nothing can prevent further decline.
What is waiting for us today?
00.30 Tokyo Consumer Price Index in January.
11.00 GDP data for the 4th quarter in the EU
14.30 US personal spending and income data for December
16.00 University of Michigan USA Consumer Confidence Index for December
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